COVID-19 Regional Safety Assessment
The situation is becoming more stable in Europe, with relatively positive or, at least, less dramatic effects than before, especially in Italy, which seems to have managed to slow the spread a great deal, having previously been one of the worst affected. As the pandemic began later in Europe than in Asia it is more pertinent to compare shorter periods such as May, 15 - June,30 and July, 1 - Aug, 16. During these intervals a decrease in the number of new cases was measured in countries with a large number of already detected, such as Italy, Turkey, Germany, United Kingdom and even Russia (where the total number of cases is equal to the 4 previously named countries). This is also true for those countries that were much less affected in terms of total cases - Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Ireland, Hungary and others. Some small states had almost no new cases, though they remain dependent or less prepared for the worst scenarios (San Marino, Gibraltar, Isle of Man, etc.). Mediterranean countries (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo, Montenegro) and Romania have had the most unpleasant changes in the aforementioned timespan. They are also more vulnerable countries and regions in Europe. Overall growth of cases in Europe decreased from 44% (from May, 15 to June, 30) to 32% (from July, 1 to Aug, 16). With tensions rising amid the economic downturn caused by quarantine measures and decreased business activity, the question of well-balanced governmental policies might be an even more decisive factor than healthcare system optimization.