COVID-19 Regional Safety Assessment
The framework comprises 6 top-level categories (Quarantine Efficiency, Government Efficiency of Risk Management, Monitoring and Detection, Health Readiness, Regional Resilience and Emergency Preparedness).
Each category consists of a matrix of sub-parameters (referred to here as Indicators), which relate to specific factors of importance impacting the stability of current regional circumstances, of the effectiveness of various regions’ emergency response efforts, and these variables will also address post-pandemic planning measures in future studies.
Finally, each indicator itself consists of a matrix of 2-10 quantitative or qualitative sub-parameters, relating to the specific topic, analytical focus and end-point of their parent indicator. Quantitative parameters are numeric, and are obtained from a variety of reputable, publicly available sources of data. Qualitative parameters are binary, and regions are assigned either a 1 or a 0, which represent an answer to a specific yes/no question.
The index utilizes a combination of publicly available databases (including but not limited to indexes and region statistics), as well as manually-curated and researched quantitative and qualitative data obtained by manual searches using search engines, media and governmental reports, and the use of expert opinions and consultations in cases where data was not available.
In utilizing three qualitatively distinct sources of data, Deep Knowledge Group analysts have attempted to overcome barriers in conducting a robust and comprehensive, yet reliable and methodologically-rigorous analysis by utilizing the largest and most reputable databases (usually constructed by an unbiased international group or foundation) where possible, by consulting region-specific resources in cases when open-source international databases are not possible, and finally by utilizing expert opinion in all cases where publicly-accessible regional and/or international sources of data are unavailable.
By utilizing this approach, the present analysis attempts to find an optimal balance between using maximally transparent and reliable sources of data, and including data which are only obtainable from expert consultation.